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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| The-Joker | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (809–387, n=1196) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $139K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #748 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (21 of 24 open) | 79% (53 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Esports −10 pts, n=94 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1856 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 10% of 282) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 39% of 244) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 66% of 352) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 94% of 978) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | The-Joker | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.7K | Yes $172K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | Yes $51K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $361 | Yes $24K | — |