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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TheGreekTraderPMsainttroplayRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)61% (318–207, n=525)71% (10–4, n=14)47% (13854–15338, n=29192)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$36K$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicTennis −11 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won55% of 590 at avg 47¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 14% of 214)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 58% of 95)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 71% of 108)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8928)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 94% of 173)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.