← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188surfandturfbeachboy4joseph00677pleaseplease1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
| TheImpasse | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 21% (142–534, n=676) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | -$149K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #427 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (8 of 20 open) | 89% (128 of 144 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −11 pts, n=43 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 90 at avg 34¢, ROI −15% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 12% of 60) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 67% of 9) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 67% of 6) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 87% of 15) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheImpasse | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $44 | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $387 | Yes $85K | — |