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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheImpasse | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 21% (140–525, n=665) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$151K | $4.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #427 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 36% (8 of 22 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −11 pts, n=43 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 90 at avg 34¢, ROI −15% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 12% of 60) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 67% of 9) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 67% of 6) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 87% of 15) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheImpasse | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $22 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $387 | — | — | Yes $77K |