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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TimeTravelerRN100gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)52% (1446–1352, n=2798)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$156K$13.4M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #963 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus70% (112 of 160 open)66% (101 of 153 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 1749 at avg 36¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 45% of 624)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 90% of 657)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 97% of 352)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 116)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTimeTravelerRN100gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $119Steelers $5.5K——
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $54Falcons $1.8K——
Titans vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $93Titans $1.3K——