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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TimeTravelerbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (1446–1352, n=2798)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$156K$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #963 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (114 of 161 open)100% (1 of 1 open)56% (78 of 139 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won76% of 1749 at avg 36¢, ROI +3%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢36% (won 45% of 624)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 90% of 657)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 97% of 352)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 116)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTimeTravelerbeachboy4RN1
Vikings vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $111—Lions $29K
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $76—Bills $28K