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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TrippleEXCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (323–210, n=533)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$204K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #883PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=453———
Settled positions, side won62% of 524 at avg 64¢, ROI −3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 29% of 14)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 39% of 71)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 56% of 254)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 82% of 185)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTrippleEXCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $6.2KB8 $22K——
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming
Aurora Gaming $7.0KLiquid $11K——
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus TheMongolz
TheMongolz $4.9KTheMongolz $2.2K——