← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TrueDignity | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (52–55, n=107) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 76 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 19% of 37) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 73% of 15) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 92% of 12) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 100% of 12) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TrueDignity | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus No | Yes $4 | Yes $8.6K | — | — |