← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TrueDignity | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (53–57, n=110) | 61% (394–247, n=641) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (6 of 7 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 76 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 19% of 37) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 73% of 15) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 92% of 12) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 100% of 12) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TrueDignity | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $10 | — | Yes $17K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | — | Yes $9.3K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | — | Yes $9.3K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6 | — | Yes $5.0K | — |