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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tysha | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (6685–1632, n=8317) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #528 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (17 of 30 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (130 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions ±0 pts, n=998 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 4872 at avg 82¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 4% of 616) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 34% of 169) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 59% of 207) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 80% (won 98% of 3880) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Tysha | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | — | Yes $22K |