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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UbuntuTrading | RN1 | sainttroplay | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (1752–1897, n=3649) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $117K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (43 of 81 open) | 56% (82 of 146 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=195 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 3786 at avg 35¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 64% (won 6% of 2407) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 37% of 153) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 68% of 159) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 1067) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.