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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
UdonsanCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)80% (299–73, n=372)62% (395–247, n=642)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$69K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #980PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus98% (40 of 41 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position90% (147 of 163 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicWeather −12 pts, n=35———
Settled positions, side won85% of 285 at avg 84¢, ROI +7%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 23% of 13)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 11% of 9)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 53% of 19)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up86% (won 94% of 244)2% (won 100% of 7)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUdonsanCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K——No $202K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——Yes $274K