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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
UpTheBluesbeachboy400gringo00CORGII
Record (consensus markets)49% (17998–18484, n=36482)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$5.8M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #7was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus61% (113 of 184 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=942, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=66, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 99% of 2645)3% (won 17% of 6)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 7907)29% (won 56% of 62)0%56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 8513)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 18795)14% (won 86% of 29)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUpTheBluesbeachboy400gringo00CORGII
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $870——TheMongolz $2.2K
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus DENDELE CS
Imperial $78——Imperial $7.9K