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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| User7429 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (7538–5728, n=13266) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $55K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #689 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (20 of 37 open) | 69% (88 of 127 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2843 at avg 70¢, ROI +20% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 58% of 104) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 85% of 485) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 95% of 701) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 99% of 1553) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | User7429 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $2 | Bills $551K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $1.3K | Raiders $198K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $9 | Cardinals $16K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $8 | Cardinals $1.5K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $38 | Cardinals $17K | — | — |