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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
User7429RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)57% (7526–5717, n=13243)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$56K$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #689PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)56% (84 of 149 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +37 pts n=95, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=1202, ROI +25%
  • Tennis +23 pts n=550, ROI +17%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won94% of 2843 at avg 70¢, ROI +20%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 58% of 104)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 85% of 485)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 95% of 701)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 99% of 1553)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUser7429RN1sainttroplay
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $3Bills $28K—
Spread: Lions (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Vikings $11Lions $4.6K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9Under $2.2K—
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $11Titans $1.6K—
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $2Raiders $581—
Vikings vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $106Lions $29K—
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Jets $655Jets $11K—
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2Over $440—