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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| User7429 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (7526–5717, n=13243) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $56K | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #689 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (10 of 18 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2843 at avg 70¢, ROI +20% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 58% of 104) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 85% of 485) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 95% of 701) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 99% of 1553) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | User7429 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $3 | — | Bills $378K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $655 | — | Raiders $171K |
| Browns vs. Steelers same side · consensus Steelers | Browns $308 | — | Browns $255K |