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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| User7429 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (7526–5717, n=13243) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $56K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #689 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (10 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (20 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2843 at avg 70¢, ROI +20% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 58% of 104) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 85% of 485) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 95% of 701) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 99% of 1553) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | User7429 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $655 | — | — | Raiders $5.8K |
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $3 | — | — | Bills $395 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $1 | — | — | Cardinals $1.0K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $9 | — | — | Over $8 |