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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
V1nch0uRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)98% (1311–32, n=1343)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$2.8K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #737PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)68% (17 of 25 open)73% (70 of 96 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=1105———
Settled positions, side won98% of 1159 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 14% of 7)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 50% of 2)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 25% of 4)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 99% of 1146)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketV1nch0uRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $6.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K