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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| VeryLucky888 | RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (26675–19314, n=45989) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $417K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (56 of 90 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=1814 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 22% of 1995) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 43% of 5894) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 58% of 5883) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 78% of 3792) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | VeryLucky888 | RN1 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3.7K | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | No $2.6K | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $319 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $164 | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Nicolas Bruna $73 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — | — |