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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Xeny00gringo00CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)54% (409–349, n=758)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$86K$3.5M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus83% (15 of 18 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +6 pts n=519, ROI +2%
  • Tech +6 pts n=142, ROI +3%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −4 pts, n=27———
Settled positions, side won43% of 975 at avg 39¢, ROI +1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢49% (won 8% of 479)0%9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 40% of 122)0%56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 74% of 126)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 248)0%2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketXeny00gringo00CORGIIBreakTheBank
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.9K——Yes $77K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K——No $35K