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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aHjCz | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (4105–9055, n=13160) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | $285K | $9.4M | $5.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (70 of 92 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (10 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −4 pts, n=1126 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 3192 at avg 36¢, ROI +15% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 61% (won 1% of 1959) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 9% of 178) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 57% of 56) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 98% of 999) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aHjCz | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $22 | No $258K | — | — |