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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aHjCz | beachboy4 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (3739–8292, n=12031) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.0M | $6.1M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #102 | — | PM monthly #22 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (97 of 127 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 59% (60 of 102 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −4 pts, n=1104 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 33% of 2980 at avg 36¢, ROI +7% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 61% (won 1% of 1829) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 8% of 167) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 57% of 49) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 98% of 935) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aHjCz | beachboy4 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $422 | — | No $20K | — |