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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| abc51001 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (60–14, n=74) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 88% (130 of 148 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 54 at avg 56¢, ROI +38% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 91% of 22) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 96% of 23) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 15% (won 100% of 8) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | abc51001 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.4K | Yes $68K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.8K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $42 | Yes $21K | — | — |