← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| abc51001 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (60–14, n=74) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 90% (144 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 54 at avg 56¢, ROI +38% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 91% of 22) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 96% of 23) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 15% (won 100% of 8) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | abc51001 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.4K | Yes $66K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.8K | Yes $32K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $42 | Yes $18K | — | — |