← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| abc51001 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (57–12, n=69) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $19K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #926 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 0% of 1) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 95% of 19) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 95% of 22) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 100% of 8) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | abc51001 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | Yes $82K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.6K | — | Yes $51K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $42 | — | Yes $16K | — |