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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| akroll | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (276–516, n=792) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) |
| Consensus PnL | $120K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 73% (81 of 111 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=72 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 1% of 205) | 10% (won 79% of 58) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 43% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 200) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 35% (won 99% of 194) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 96% of 167) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | akroll | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.9K | Yes $4.3K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.8K | No $624 |