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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| akroll | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (279–521, n=800) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $120K | $11.0M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #102 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (14 of 21 open) | 67% (76 of 114 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=72 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 1% of 205) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 43% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 96% of 167) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | akroll | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $6.0K | Yes $287K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.0K | Yes $4.2K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $17K | No $42K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.7K | No $607 | — |