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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | akroll | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 35% (279–526, n=805) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $119K | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 52% (59 of 113 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=72 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 52% (won 1% of 205) | 10% (won 81% of 57) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 2% (won 43% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 201) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 35% (won 99% of 196) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 42% (won 96% of 167) | 19% (won 100% of 109) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | akroll | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $6.0K | Yes $287K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.1K | Yes $4.2K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $17K | No $42K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.7K | No $607 |