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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| almost-never | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (143–181, n=324) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) |
| Consensus PnL | $178K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #166 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=246 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 321 at avg 45¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 47% (won 1% of 152) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 48% of 23) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 77% of 26) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 96% of 120) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | almost-never | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $284 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | Yes $170K | — | — |