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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11CORGIIsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (5430–4794, n=10224)62% (393–245, n=638)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$78K$4.5M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #943PM monthly #68was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus61% (36 of 59 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won56% of 249 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 6% of 47)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 33% of 58)56% (won 99% of 223)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 67% of 64)33% (won 100% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 93% of 80)2% (won 100% of 7)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11CORGIIsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $3——Magic $51K
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $14——Magic $24K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $2——Magic $13K
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
DENDELE CS $767Imperial $7.9K——