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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)53% (5480–4846, n=10326)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL$78K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #943PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus76% (19 of 25 open)63% (17 of 27 open)81% (58 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won56% of 251 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 6% of 47)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 33% of 58)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 68% of 66)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 93% of 80)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11RN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $433Commanders $161K
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $125Commanders $32K