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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ameisgoat11 | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5570–4933, n=10503) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 252 at avg 55¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 47) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 33% of 58) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 68% of 65) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 93% of 82) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ameisgoat11 | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco Cerundolo opposite sides · consensus Francisco Cerundolo | Francisco Cerundolo $6 | — | — | Arthur Rinderknech $561 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone opposite sides · consensus Mariano Navone | Luca Van Assche $6 | Mariano Navone $3 | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $9 | Mary Stoiana $21K | — | — |