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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11sainttroplayRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)53% (5568–4933, n=10501)71% (10–4, n=14)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$78K$4.4M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #943was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus60% (24 of 40 open)no open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won56% of 252 at avg 55¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 6% of 47)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 33% of 58)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 68% of 65)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8928)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 93% of 82)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11sainttroplayRN1primm
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $2—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $109K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $5—Maria Sakkari $1.4K—