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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
analdesutructorjoseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)80% (206–53, n=259)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL-$60K$5.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #601PM monthly #3PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position56% (10 of 18 open)60% (46 of 77 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +47 pts n=30, ROI +49%
  • Esports +48 pts n=14, ROI +46%
  • MLB +33 pts n=55, ROI +32%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 215 at avg 62¢, ROI +38%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 12)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 97% of 64)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 50)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 89)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketanaldesutructorjoseph00677primmRN1
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $587—Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $21K
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $26KJaguars $19K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $12KOver $10K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $9.7KJaguars $7.1K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $670Over $1.5K
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $560Jaguars $174
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.1KRavens $654