← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| askilika | joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) | 50% (14548–14689, n=29237) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $5.6M | $4.2M | $3.0M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 69% (25 of 36 open) | 61% (109 of 180 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 8% (won 60% of 899) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | askilika | joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.0M | Yes $76 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $242K | Yes $59 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $50 | Yes $2.4K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $818K | Yes $5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $503K | Yes $121 |