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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| asuka7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (969–631, n=1600) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) |
| Consensus PnL | -$34K | $7.6M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #956 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 73% (111 of 152 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 1322 at avg 57¢, ROI +13% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 41% of 128) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 59% of 349) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 79% of 477) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 89% of 368) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | asuka7 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | No $337K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $292K | Yes $11K | — |