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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| austr | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (598–312, n=910) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | -$45K | $4.1M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #980 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (129 of 198 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (113 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 516 at avg 79¢, ROI +7% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 36% of 11) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 86% of 28) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 87% of 86) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 391) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | austr | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $120K | Yes $2.2M | — |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $201 | — | No $7.4K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.7K | — | No $18K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $28 | — | No $115 |