Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
averagejoetradersRN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (397–263, n=660)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$63K$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #339PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (8 of 13 open)58% (85 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won100% of 278 at avg 65¢, ROI +39%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 18)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 100% of 44)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 84)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 132)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketaveragejoetradersRN1
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $403Bills $22K
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $6Steelers $8.2K
Spread: Lions (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Vikings $16Lions $4.6K
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $1Lions $2.1K
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $705Yes $108
Browns vs. Steelers
same side · consensus Steelers
Steelers $4.8KSteelers $6.0K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Steelers $260Steelers $1.9K