← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| averagejoetraders | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (397–263, n=660) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #339 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (7 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (78 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 278 at avg 65¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 100% of 44) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 100% of 84) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 132) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | averagejoetraders | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $403 | — | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Steelers $260 | — | Browns $297K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.8K | — | Raiders $171K |