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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| babybells | classified | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 30% (6–14, n=20) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 44% (108–136, n=244) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $3.8K | $1.1K | $275K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #338 | PM monthly #28 | PM monthly #160 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 67% (8 of 12 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | babybells | classified | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Alex Bolt opposite sides · consensus Alex Bolt | Alex Bolt $145 | — | Hiroki Moriya $945 | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin same side · consensus Michael Geerts | Michael Geerts $371 | — | Michael Geerts $8.9K | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Ioannis Xilas vs Sergey Fomin same side · consensus Sergey Fomin | Ioannis Xilas $215 | — | Ioannis Xilas $2.6K | — |