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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ballinco | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (142–126, n=268) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $25K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (5 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −2 pts, n=109 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 280 at avg 55¢, ROI +11% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 11% of 19) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 55% of 69) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 64% of 132) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 82% of 60) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ballinco | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $1.1M | — | Commanders $31K |