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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bands1ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (468–461, n=929)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL-$270K-$9.5M$1.4M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #174was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)56% (5 of 9 open)64% (100 of 157 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=163—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won50% of 873 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 20% of 61)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 47% of 339)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 52% of 384)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 80% of 89)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbands1ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimm
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $146Yes $2.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $12K—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.8KOver $88—