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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy400gringo00CORGIIomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$5.8M$3.5M$4.5M$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #68PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)51% (35 of 69 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=92———
Settled positions, side won57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)0%9% (won 92% of 36)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 56% of 62)0%56% (won 99% of 223)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)0%2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy400gringo00CORGIIomnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
——B8 $22KHeroic $658
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
——Imperial $7.9KDENDELE CS $256
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
——TheMongolz $2.2KLegacy $54