Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

beachboy4: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BiggggggggprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)17% (1526–7267, n=8793)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19707–21460, n=41167)
Consensus PnL$564K$3.7M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #41PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (169 of 209 open)no open consensus position54% (14 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=113——
Settled positions, side won66% of 4273 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 6% of 1314)5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 194)40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 69% of 194)50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 98% of 2571)5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.