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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Biggggggggndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (1399–1962, n=3361)66% (901–474, n=1375)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$559K$4.5M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #100PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (122 of 217 open)72% (109 of 151 open)no open consensus position52% (14 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEconomy −5 pts, n=109NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 7% of 1163)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 182)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 68% of 179)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 97% of 2298)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBiggggggggndb1primmRN1
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2No $171——
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9Yes $61K——
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
No $10No $2.0K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $46No $356——