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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpVictorLudorum
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)50% (5030–4934, n=9964)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$99K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #175
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (25 of 30 open)71% (77 of 109 open)85% (63 of 74 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +2 pts n=15, ROI 0%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −1 pts, n=1210
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%67% of 5058 at avg 67¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)28% (won 2% of 1396)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 34% of 186)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)5% (won 59% of 230)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)64% (won 97% of 3246)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.