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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpmildwindow27
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)39% (5027–7815, n=12842)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M$69K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #388
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (12 of 21 open)62% (237 of 383 open)89% (192 of 216 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −4 pts, n=1229
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)54% (won 1% of 2673)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 43% of 124)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)4% (won 55% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)40% (won 96% of 1974)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpmildwindow27
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $642KNo $113K—