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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpstepanka1234
Record (consensus markets)no settled market44% (574–717, n=1291)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)78% (65–18, n=83)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$38K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #615
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)75% (78 of 104 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 60 at avg 78¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)0%
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)77% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpstepanka1234
Panteras de Aguascalientes vs. Soles de Mexicali
same side · consensus Soles de Mexicali
——Soles de Mexicali $1.1KSoles de Mexicali $358