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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Michael-The-Taxiarch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 54% (49–41, n=90) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $29K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #480 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 65% (74 of 114 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=14 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 45% of 93 at avg 42¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 47% (won 7% of 44) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 13% (won 50% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 11% (won 70% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 29% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Michael-The-Taxiarch |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.4K | No $19K |