← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | Vale54holi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 47% (12984–14433, n=27417) | 38% (187–304, n=491) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $14.8M | $113K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #119 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (36 of 53 open) | 57% (30 of 53 open) | 64% (14 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 61% (won 1% of 161) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 3% (won 14% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 4% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 32% (won 96% of 85) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | Vale54holi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $378K | — | No $47 |